Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Utopian Dream Shattered by Reality of Birth Rate

God said unto them, Be fruitful, and multiply, and replenish the earth . . .
Genesis 1:28 (KJV)

The latest challenge to the modern liberals' totalitarian ideal is a result of their own making: Ever-diminishing younger generations caused by delayed marriage, no marriage, "gay marriage," non-procreative sex, birth control, abortion . . . all in defiance of God's commands.

For background, read Where Liberalism Flourishes, Population Diminishes  and also read U.S. Teenage Birth Rate Lowest on Record

In addition, read Sex on the Rise, Procreation in Decline and also read Sex & Birth Control Go Together Like a Horse & Carriage as well as American Trend: Fewer Children, More Animals/Pets

Low birth rates cause European nationalities to fear that they will cease to exist, especially Russia and even Germany.

-- From "Dropping birth rate signals economic trouble ahead" by Bernard Condon, Associated Press 5/11/14

We tend to think economic growth comes from working harder and smarter. But economists attribute up to a third of it to more people joining the workforce each year than leaving it. The result is more producing, earning and spending.

Births are falling in China, Japan, the United States, Germany, Italy and nearly all other European countries. . . .

The trend emerges as a key gauge of future economic health — the growth in the pool of potential workers, ages 20-64 — is signaling trouble ahead. This labor pool had expanded for decades, thanks to the vast generation of baby boomers. Now the boomers are retiring, and there are barely enough new workers to replace them, let alone add to their numbers.

The drop in birth rates is rooted in the 1960s, when many women entered the workforce for the first time and couples decided to have smaller families. . . .

. . . Research Affiliates expects the working-age share of total population to fall steadily for several decades, slowing economies each year, until [proportions of working-age people] bottom at about 50% in 2040 or so.

A country can compensate for this demographic drag on economic growth by encouraging people to work longer or to use technologies to increase output. But most economists doubt that such changes are forthcoming or would be enough.

Andrew Cates, senior international economist for UBS in Singapore, worries that people accustomed to living better each year won't accept the new slow-growth future and will demand change through protests. "It's a recipe for social instability," he says.

To read the entire (very extensive) article above, CLICK HERE.

From "Why is the teen birth rate falling?" by Eileen Patten, Pew Research Center 4/21/14

The all-time peak for teen births was 96.3 per 1,000 in 1957 in the midst of the “Baby Boom,” after having risen dramatically following the end of World War II. But the composition of teen mothers has changed drastically since then. Back in 1960, most teen mothers were married—an estimated 15% of births to mothers ages 15-19 were to unmarried teens. Today, it has flipped:  89% of births are to unmarried mothers in that age group.
. . . [In the recent past,] there has been a significant decline in the percentage of never-married teenage females who ever had sex, from 51% in 1988 to 43% in 2006-2010, according to National Survey of Family Growth data. Furthermore, among never-married teens who have had sex, 78% used a contraceptive method the first time they had sex, 86% used contraception during their most recent sex and 20% used dual methods (e.g., a hormonal method and a condom) during their most recent sex, all significant increases since 1988.

It’s worth noting that birth rate figures only include live births, and do not account for miscarriages, stillbirths or abortions. . . . Of the roughly 700,000 pregnancies among teens in 2009, about 58% are estimated to have ended in live births, 25% in abortions and 17% in miscarriages or stillbirths.

To read the entire article above, CLICK HERE.

From "Teen birth rate falls to new low" by Herbert L. White, Charlotte Post 5/8/14

While there was a drop in the pregnancy rate for 15- to 17-year-olds and 18–19-year-olds between 2008-10, pregnancies among 18- and 19-year-olds made up 69 percent of teen pregnancies. During this same time period, more 18- and 19-year-olds reported having sex, but fewer became pregnant – likely because of improved contraceptive use and more effective methods.

“The decline in the teen pregnancy rate is great news,” says [Guttmacher Institute] lead author Kathryn Kost. “Other reports had already demonstrated sustained declines in births among teens in the past few years; but now we know that this is due to the fact that fewer teens are becoming pregnant in the first place. It appears that efforts to ensure teens can access the information and contraceptive services they need to prevent unwanted pregnancies are paying off.”

“Trends in teenage and young adult pregnancy, birth and abortion will need to be closely monitored over the coming years to determine how the reproductive behaviors of young women and young men in the United States may be changing,” the authors wrote. “Further research will be needed to understand the behavior, social and economic factors that are affecting these trends. Specifically, research will need to address not just why fewer teens and young adult women are having births, but also why fewer are becoming pregnant.”

To read the entire article above, CLICK HERE.

From "U.S. Teenage Pregnancies, Births and Abortions, 2010: National and State Trends by Age, Race and Ethnicity" Guttmacher Institute - May 2014

Key Findings [excerpts:]

• The teenage birthrate in 2010 was 34.4 births per 1,000 women. This was 44% lower than the peak rate of 61.8, reached in 1991.

• The 2010 teenage abortion rate was 14.7 abortions per 1,000 women. This figure is the lowest since abortion was legalized and 66% lower than its peak in 1988 (43.5).

• The long-term declines in teenage birth and abortion rates were interrupted by increases in 2006. By 2008, the declines had resumed, and they accelerated between 2008 and 2010.

• From 1986 to 2010, the proportion of teenage pregnancies ending in abortion (i.e., the abortion ratio) declined by one-third, from 46% to 30%.

• Wide differences in birth and abortion rates also persist across racial and ethnic groups. The birthrate in 2010 for non-Hispanic white teenagers (23.6) was about half the rate for black teenagers (51.4) and less than half the rate for Hispanic teenagers (55.6). The abortion rate among black teenagers (34.5) was more than three times the rate for non-Hispanic whites (8.5), while the rate among Hispanic teenagers (15.3) was almost twice that rate.

• In 2010, teenage birthrate was highest in Mississippi (55 per 1,000 in 2010), and the next highest rates were in New Mexico (53), Arkansas (53), Texas (52) and Oklahoma (50). The lowest rates were in New Hampshire (16), Massachusetts (17), Vermont (18), Connecticut (19) and New Jersey (20).

• Teenage abortion rates in 2010 were highest in New York (32 abortions per 1,000 women), Delaware (28), New Jersey (24), Hawaii (23) and Maryland (22). The lowest rates were found in South Dakota (4) Utah (4), Kansas (5), Nebraska (5), Kentucky (6) and North Dakota (6).

• More than half of teenage pregnancies (excluding miscarriages and stillbirths) ended in abortion in three states: New York (58%), New Jersey (55%) and Connecticut (52%).

• In ascending order, the states with the lowest proportions of teenage pregnancies ending in abortion (15% or less) were South Dakota, Kansas, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Utah, Arkansas, Mississippi, Nebraska and Texas.

To read the entire report above, CLICK HERE (.PDF).

Also read how abortion kills most black children in New York - Genocide

What's the good news? Abortion Rate Declines . . . So Democrats Want More Access